【我国的经济波动和宏观经济监测体系初探】.pdf
ABSTRAOT Thethesisisdividedinto4parts.PartI,throughtheanalysesoftheTotalValue ofNational ProduotsandNational Incomeover30years,istoprovethattheeconomicgrowthhas4fiuctua-ti0ns:1960-1963,1966-1969-1977,1984-1987,theagriculturalfluctuationisthebaseoftheeconomic fluctuation.
thewhole Leading Indicator DI,andgive the further analysesontheSeveralmajorstatesofthemovement ofthemacro-economy.In thelast,asatestof the monitoringsystem,thethesisanalysestheeconomic grouth in China Sinceto show that the macro-economy has been in overhoated state all time,so it 1S ucdevelop
三、对宏观经济监测指标体系的分析(一)对先行指标序列的分析(二)对同步指标序列和滞后指标序列的分析 四、对1980年以来我国宏观经济状况的分析 结束语 致谢 中外文参考文献